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Industry Insiders Not Expecting EVs to Succeed

Future is hybrids, smaller engines and turbos

 
 
Slideshow
Toyota has canceled plans to sell the IQ EV in Europe

In a survey of 200 automotive executives, just 16 of them (8%) said that they would invest in pure electric vehicles in the next five years. The survey was conducted by accounting firm KPMG. The respondents said that it will be six to 10 years before EVs are mainstream options. The same survey was done last year, and the respondents believed that it would take one to six years for EVs to become mainstream. 

The examples of the failures of EVs, especially in Europe, are manifold. Nissan had hoped to sell 9,000 Leafs in Europe in 2012; it sold 5,341 cars. There were 15,272 EVs sold in the EU in 2012. 

The failure of EVs in Europe is not without trying to make them succeed. Most European governments offer incentives on EVs. For instance, there is a £5,000 government incentive. However, that is not enough to make EVs competitive against cars in the same class. In the UK, the LeafLEAFNissan LEAFJapan, 2009 > present29 versions
45 photos
1 video
starts at £23,490 after government incentives, but buyers could get a Nissan QashqaiQashqaiNissan QashqaiJapan, 2006 > 2014305 versions
384 photos
for £16,595.

The lack of sales has caused automakers to stop plans to build EV models. OpelOpelOpelGermany, 1863 > present85 models
5151 photos
8 videos
canceled production of the AdamADAM Gen.1Opel ADAM Gen.1Germany, 2012 > present25 versions
122 photos
EV; ToyotaToyotaToyotaJapan, 1937 > present155 models
4570 photos
10 videos
will not sell the iQ EViQ EVToyota iQ EVJapan, 2012 > present4 photos
in Europe; the Fiat 500e500eFiat 500eItaly, 2013 > present2 photos
will also not be sold in Europe; and AudiAudiAudiGermany, 1909 > present83 models
8213 photos
27 videos
has slowed down on plans to build the R8 E-tronInsignia 2.0 Turbo Design Edition 4x4 AutomaticOpel Insignia 2.0 Turbo D...Germany, 2010 > present1 photo

The lack of electric car infrastructure that can charge EVs quickly is also partially to blame for the failure of EVs.

Respondents in the KPMG indicated that the future will be in smaller engines and hybrids. Audi plans to bring a plug-in hybrid version of the A3A3 Gen.3 [Typ 8V]Audi A3 Gen.3 [Typ 8V]Germany, 2012 > present275 versions
591 photos
in 2014, and BMWBMWBMWGermany, 1918 > present87 models
8471 photos
43 videos
has been walking back from its i3i3BMW i3Germany, 2011 > present26 photos
1 video
EV by promoting the car's availability with a two-cylinder range extending engine.

Source: Automotive News Europe

2 comments

Zero4321
Well this is 5 years from now, 5 years is a long time for the EV technology to grow in leaps and bounds, I believe that EVs will grow in popularity as gas prices rise.
09.02.2013 @ 06:28
cabruce
I think it is going to take a major leap in technology, specifically the lithium-air batteries that BMW and Toyota are developing, for EVs to be mainstream. Even then, it will be years before the cars...
more
12.02.2013 @ 18:55
Anonymous

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